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REGIONALISM IN CONTEMPORARY POLITICS IN GHANA

 In politics, regionalism is a political ideology that focuses on the interests of a particular region or group of regions. The regionalists seeks to increase the power and influence of their regions in order to achieve their goals. Dear readers, regionalism in our politics predates our independence from colonial rule, which led to the United Party(UP) tradition advocating for federalism and some politicians in the northern part of our country forming Northern People's Party(NPP). Since the  advent of the 4th Republican Constitution(1992), which prohibits the formation of political parties along tribal, religious and regional lines, regionalism has been manifesting itself in various forms. For instance, since 1992 the party that wins general elections in Ghana, had won the home region of its presidential candidate and home region of its national Chairman. For instance, NDC won in Volta region in 1992 and 1996 when  Former JJ Rawlings was the flagbearer and won Greater Accra and Upper West region when Alhaji Issifu Ali and late Harry Swayer of blessed memory were NDC's Co-Chairmen. In 2000 the NPP won in Ashanti and Greater Accra region partly because former President Kuffour and Mr Odoi -Sykes are from  Ashanti and Greater Accra regions respectively. In 2004, the NPP won Ashanti and Central regions partly because Mr Harona Esseku is from the Central region.

Prior to Paul Afoko becoming NPP's national chairman, some of my friends in the NPP told me, they would like Paul Afoko to win the chairmanship position, with hope that with Mr Afoko as their national chairman, it will enhance their  chances of winning in the northern regions, particularly Upper East Region(the home region of Paul Afoko).
Sadly, what some NPP supporters did to Mr Afoko and Mr Kwabena Agyepong in Bolgatanga last Thursday is an indication that Mr Afoko is unable to carry all NPP supporters in region with him, not to  talk about delivering the region for the NPP.
Readers, politics is science and as a student of politics, I try to use certain variables  to predict future political outcomes. Given that since 1992, no party has won elections in Ghana without its national chairman carrying his home region with him. Given the precedents, I can confidently, safely and fairly conclude  that the chance of Mr Afoko delivering upper east region for his party has diminished further following the incident in Bolga. All things being equal, if NPP fails to win the Upper east region, which they have never won anyway, then they cannot win 2026 elections.